Timber Trends Week 52: Log price rising, 2025 trend?
December 23, 2024
Industry Overview
The wood and timber sector is navigating significant market shifts, with varied pricing trends across regions and increased regulatory scrutiny. On the innovation front, modular timber systems and sustainable forestry practices continue to gain traction, while demand for mass timber remains robust despite supply chain challenges. Policy changes, such as the postponement of the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) and proposed tariffs in the US, are set to impact global trade dynamics in the coming year.
Market Updates
European Market: Rising Log Prices and Regional Variations
- Sweden: Mellanskog has announced a significant log price increase of 100 SEK/m³ (approximately €9). Pine log prices now range from 735–1,175 SEK (€64–102), while spruce logs are priced at 735–1,110 SEK (€64–97) per cubic meter. This move reflects strong demand, particularly in Central Sweden, driven by increased sawmill production. Source
- Austria: Softwood sawlog prices increased slightly in December outside calamity-affected regions, with spruce A/C 2b+ logs ranging between €95 and €115 per cubic meter. Demand for larch remains strong due to the limited availability of Siberian larch. However, hardwood markets, particularly oak and ash, are starting to feel the effects of reduced construction activity. Source
- Finland: Pine log prices are nearing €80/m³, with spruce and birch logs priced at €82.46 and €64.77/m³, respectively. Total timber purchases have increased by over 5 million cubic meters compared to last year, reflecting strong industrial demand. Source
Global Trends in Exports and Imports
- US to China: Exports of logs from the US to China surged by 33% in November, signaling strong demand recovery. Source
- Australia to China: Wood chip exports from Australia to China decreased by 7% in November, reflecting subdued demand. Source
- Latvia: Plywood exports are on the rise, continuing a trend of increased demand for engineered wood products. Source
US Market: Tariff Threats and Price Implications
The US is facing potential tariff hikes on wood product imports, with proposed increases of up to 60% for imports from China, 25% for Canada and Mexico, and 10% for other nations. These changes could disrupt supply chains and lead to higher domestic wood prices, potentially impacting construction and manufacturing sectors. Source
China: Softwood log demand in China remains subdued, with stable inventory levels impacting the global market. Source
Policy and Regulation
EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) Postponed
The EU has officially postponed the implementation of the EUDR until December 2025, granting industries additional time to adapt. The regulation aims to combat deforestation linked to products such as timber, coffee, and cocoa. This delay provides breathing room for companies to adjust supply chains and ensure compliance. Source
Sweden: Compensation for Forestry Operations
Sweden is proposing financial compensation and streamlined rules to support forestry operations, aiming to balance economic and environmental considerations. Source
Technology and Innovation
Modular Timber Skyscrapers
A team from Graz University of Technology has unveiled the world’s first modular timber skyscraper system. Known as MOHOHO, the system uses cross-laminated timber (CLT) and glulam components to create scalable and sustainable high-rise buildings. This innovation could redefine urban construction by reducing carbon footprints and enabling easy disassembly. Source
Scottish Water’s Timber Kiosks
Scottish Water is replacing traditional glass-reinforced plastic kiosks with modular timber structures. These kiosks are fully recyclable and reduce embodied carbon emissions by 74%, showcasing the potential of timber in infrastructure projects. Source
Outlook for the Coming Week
The focus remains on navigating regulatory changes, such as the EUDR postponement, and monitoring the ripple effects of proposed US tariffs on global trade. With sustained demand for engineered wood products and rising log prices, supply chain strategies will be critical for industry players. Innovations in modular timber construction and circular forestry practices are likely to gain further traction, presenting new opportunities for sustainable growth.
Want to stay up to date with the world of timber?
- Get access to market insights
- Procure all your timber
- Compare timber prices
- Stay updated on market trends