Timber Trends Week 50: European Timber Markets Remain Under Pressure

December 9, 2024

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Industry Overview

This week, the wood and timber industry navigated significant challenges and opportunities, with a focus on market dynamics, regulatory updates, and innovations in sustainable construction. Market uncertainty persisted in key regions like Europe and North America, while advancements in mass timber and sustainable forestry practices offered a glimpse of long-term resilience. The European Union Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) postponement remained a hot topic, with stakeholders urging revisions to reduce bureaucratic hurdles. Meanwhile, timber prices showed mixed trends across various markets, reflecting diverse supply-demand dynamics.


Market Updates

European Timber Markets Under Pressure Germany's wood market faces notable challenges as economic instability weakens construction activity. Softwood sawlog prices have risen to €95–€100 per cubic meter due to reduced availability of beetle-damaged wood, while sawn timber producers struggle with excess stock and declining demand. Hardwood markets remain stable, with high-quality grades fetching strong prices, but lower grades face reduced interest. Energy wood and pulp sectors remain relatively stable. The outlook for 2025 suggests a continuation of tight margins, with only modest recovery anticipated. Source: Timber Industry News

Swedish Sawmills Grapple with Low Margins Swedish sawmills report operating margins dropping to 2.2% in Q3, down from 6.7% in Q2, as raw material costs hit record highs. Despite slight price increases for sawn timber, profitability remains constrained. However, a cautious optimism exists for spring 2025, driven by a potential rebound in the construction and renovation sectors as interest rates fall. The U.S. market has also shown signs of recovery, with rising lumber futures and Canadian production cuts boosting prices. Source: Timber Industry News

Norwegian Timber Prices Stay Elevated Softwood sawlog prices in Norway are climbing, driven by high competition and limited supply. Prices for spruce sawlogs range between €78–82/m³, while pine sawlogs exceed €69/m³ near industrial hubs. Pulpwood averages €61/m³. The European market's growing demand for raw materials, coupled with underharvesting in Sweden, has positioned Norway as a critical supplier. However, this has fueled intense competition among European buyers, particularly for spruce logs. Source: Timber Industry News

China’s Log Market Balances Supply and Demand China's softwood log inventory dropped to 2.4 million m³ in October, with daily demand steady at 55–60k m³. A-grade logs are priced at $125 per JASm³. Market sentiment has been buoyed by government stimulus, but log demand has not significantly increased. The introduction of log futures and options trading on the Dalian Commodity Exchange aims to address price volatility and enhance transparency. Source: Global Wood Markets Info

Brazil and Chile Ramp Up Exports Exports of lumber from Brazil surged by 33% in November, while Chile's plywood exports expanded by 40%. However, lumber exported from Chile saw a significant price drop of 47%, reflecting regional price volatility. Source: Lesprom


Policy and Regulation

EUDR Postponement Sparks Calls for Revision The European Union has delayed the implementation of the EUDR by one year, with enforcement now expected in late 2025. While industry leaders in Austria and Germany welcomed the postponement, they demanded major revisions to reduce administrative burdens and align the regulation with practical forest management realities. Stakeholders emphasize the need for differentiated risk assessments to enhance efficiency without jeopardizing competitiveness. Source: Global Wood Markets Info

EU Scraps "No Risk" EUDR Status The European Council rejected the controversial "no risk" category for sustainable forest management, opting instead for simplified compliance requirements. Businesses now have an additional year to adapt, with the final vote on the revised regulation scheduled for mid-December. Source: Wood Central


Technology and Innovation

Mass Timber Gains Momentum The Mass Timber Insurance Playbook has been republished with endorsements from the UK’s leading insurance bodies, reflecting growing confidence in mass timber construction. The Playbook provides guidance on risk mitigation and has been instrumental in advancing sustainable building practices in the UK. Interest in mass timber continues to rise globally, with U.S. and European markets prioritizing its adoption. Source: Timber Media

Hydrogen Fuel Stations Leverage Timber Swedish firm Hydri is building hydrogen fuel stations using Södra’s cross-laminated timber (CLT). The material's carbon-positive properties and cost-effectiveness align with Hydri’s sustainability goals. This marks a significant shift in the use of timber in industrial applications. Source: Wood Central

World’s First All-Timber Stadium Approved Forest Green Rovers FC will construct the UK’s first climate-positive stadium made almost entirely of wood. Designed by Zaha Hadid Architects, the 5,000-seater stadium will integrate mass timber for its structural components and aims to set new standards for sustainable construction. Source: Wood Central


Outlook for the Coming Week

While market conditions remain volatile, the outlook for 2025 is cautiously optimistic, driven by anticipated recovery in construction and renovation sectors. Regulatory uncertainty surrounding the EUDR will continue to dominate discussions, with the upcoming EU vote being a key milestone. Advancements in mass timber and sustainable construction practices will likely remain a focal point as the industry aligns with environmental and economic goals.

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